{"id":1811,"date":"2017-12-12T01:01:22","date_gmt":"2017-12-12T01:01:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/datxanhnhatrang.com.vn\/?p=1811"},"modified":"2017-12-12T01:01:22","modified_gmt":"2017-12-12T01:01:22","slug":"cac-chuyen-gia-co-nhan-dinh-gi-ve-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/duanonline.com.vn\/vi\/cac-chuyen-gia-co-nhan-dinh-gi-ve-thi-truong-bat-dong-san-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u00f3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh g\u00ec v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n 2018?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u201cC\u01a1n s\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ec1n v\u00f9ng ven th\u1eddi gian qua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00ecnh \u1ed5n trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn cho th\u1ea5y hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi. T\u1eeb nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi v\u1eabn s\u1ebd ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d \u2013 Theo \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1nh Kh\u1edfi, Ph\u00f3 c\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng C\u1ee5c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Nh\u00e0 v\u00e0 Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n.
\n\"bds3\"
\nTh\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 2018 s\u1ebd v\u1eabn ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 bong b\u00f3ng v\u00ec Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd v\u00e0 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t.
\n\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Nguy\u1ec5n M\u1ea1nh Kh\u1edfi, Ph\u00f3 c\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edfng C\u1ee5c Qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd Nh\u00e0 v\u00e0 Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o \u201cNh\u1eadn di\u1ec7n c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2018\u201d do T\u1ea1p ch\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n CafeLand t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n qua t\u1ea1i TP.HCM.
\n+ Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t<\/strong>
\n\u00d4ng Kh\u1edfi cho bi\u1ebft, \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 20.11.2017 t\u1ed3n kho b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n gi\u1ea3m c\u00f2n h\u01a1n 25.700 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng, so v\u1edbi con s\u1ed1 102.800 t\u1ef7 trong qu\u00fd I\/2013, t\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 80%. So v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng 12\/2016 th\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 5.300 t\u1ef7, t\u1ee9c h\u01a1n 17%. C\u0169ng trong th\u00e1ng 11 v\u1eeba qua, TP.HCM c\u00f3 1.600 giao d\u1ecbch, t\u0103ng 3,2%. H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i c\u00f3 1.400 giao d\u1ecbch, b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng 10.
\n\u201cN\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 6 n\u0103m t\u1eeb 2009 \u0111\u1ebfn 2015 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 126 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p th\u00ec t\u1eeb sau khi c\u00f3 lu\u1eadt nh\u00e0 \u1edf 2014 \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 1.000 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea5p s\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ecf v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i t\u00ecm mua b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Ch\u00ednh nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i\u201d, \u00f4ng Kh\u1edfi n\u00f3i v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i n\u01b0\u1edbc va\u00f2 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng, n\u00ean ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u1ec1 v\u1ed1n cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e0 lu\u00f4n lu\u00f4n c\u00f3. Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u1ea7n c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf c\u1edfi m\u1edf, th\u00f4ng tho\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. T\u1ea1i TP.HCM c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111ang h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng.
\n\u201cC\u01a1n s\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ec1n v\u00f9ng ven th\u1eddi gian qua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00ecnh \u1ed5n trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn cho th\u1ea5y hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi. T\u1eeb nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u00e1ng v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi v\u1eabn s\u1ebd ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc\u201d, \u00f4ng Kh\u1edfi n\u00f3i.
\n+ C\u00f3 s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch<\/strong>
\nN\u00f3i v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u0103m 2018, chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf V\u0169 \u0110\u00ecnh \u00c1nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n n\u0103m 2017 nh\u1edd nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.
\n\u00d4ng \u00c1nh l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn, n\u0103m 2018 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 ban h\u00e0nh nh\u01b0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u01a1n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Ngh\u1ecb \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 quy ho\u1ea1ch, d\u1ef1 \u00e1n m\u1edbi v\u00e0 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac t\u1eebng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd h\u1ee3p l\u00fd h\u01a1n.
\nM\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd n\u1eefa l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ngo\u00e0i ng\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n, t\u1ed5ng c\u00f4ng ty trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ecf d\u00e0nh cho b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong n\u0103m 2018, \u00f4ng \u00c1nh kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh.
\nTheo \u00f4ng L\u00ea Ho\u00e0ng Ch\u00e2u, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n TP.HCM, n\u0103m 2018 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u0103m b\u1ea3n l\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u01b0\u1ee3t b\u1eadc. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro \u1edf ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n cao c\u1ea5p, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u0103n h\u1ed9 l\u1edbn t\u1eeb 3 ph\u00f2ng ng\u1ee7 tr\u1edf l\u00ean. \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u00f3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 Condotel, Hometel v\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb c\u00e1c ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 chuy\u1ec3n m\u1ea1nh qua ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac nh\u00e0 \u1edf h\u1ee3p t\u00fai ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n\u201d, \u00f4ng Ch\u00e2u khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb.
\n+ H\u1ea5p d\u1eabn v\u1edbi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i<\/strong>
\nTheo \u00f4ng Neil MacGregor \u2013 Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh Savills Vi\u1ec7t Nam, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. \u0110i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam r\u1ea5t t\u00edch c\u1ef1c so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u1ea1nh tranh kh\u00e1c trong khu v\u1ef1c.
\nB\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kh\u00e1ch du l\u1ecbch qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u0103ng 26% trong n\u0103m 2016 v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n n\u0103m 2017 con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 28%. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u00e1 \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng, trong khi \u0111\u00f3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c.
\nNh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y nh\u01b0 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i. T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn 20\/11 s\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 h\u01a1n 16 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 11,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 chi ti\u00eau c\u0169ng ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00e1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.
\nB\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n 2018 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng<\/strong><\/em>
\nTheo \u00f4ng L\u00ea Ho\u00e0ng Ch\u00e2u, t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft th\u00e1ng 11\/2017 l\u00e0 15,3%, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft ng\u00e0y 31\/12 l\u00e0 21%, ngu\u1ed3n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng trong n\u0103m 2017 m\u00e0 s\u1ebd chuy\u1ec3n qua 2018 \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. Ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y c\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u0103m 2018 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh.
\n\u201cM\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan ngo\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u1ebfn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 an to\u00e0n, n\u00ean ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n 2018. Nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 t\u1ea1i TP.HCM v\u1eeba c\u00f3 c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1eb7c th\u00f9. Trong \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh th\u00ed \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i TP.HCM\u201d, \u00f4ng Ch\u00e2u n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

Theo B\u00e1o Tu\u1ed5i Tr\u1ebb<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n 4.5\/5 - (32 b\u00ecnh ch\u1ecdn) <\/div>\n <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cC\u01a1n s\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ea5t n\u1ec1n v\u00f9ng ven th\u1eddi gian qua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00ecnh \u1ed5n trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn cho th\u1ea5y hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi. 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